Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.084660 0.098172 0.112945 0.130270 0.150002 0.171747 0.197498
2025-01-05 0.064167 0.082042 0.103346 0.130494 0.164047 0.204026 0.255129
2025-01-12 0.048726 0.067993 0.092781 0.126754 0.171811 0.229189 0.307401
2025-01-19 0.038555 0.058204 0.085268 0.124819 0.180600 0.255816 0.364118
2025-01-26 0.033582 0.054316 0.084621 0.131428 0.200990 0.299427 0.447810
2025-02-02 0.029532 0.050879 0.083813 0.137278 0.220538 0.343502 0.536470
2025-02-09 0.024189 0.044356 0.077167 0.133079 0.224167 0.364309 0.592813
2025-02-16 0.020533 0.039895 0.072974 0.131899 0.231904 0.391533 0.660872
2025-02-23 0.017203 0.035364 0.067892 0.128359 0.235059 0.411414 0.718714
2025-03-02 0.014614 0.031702 0.063718 0.125669 0.239054 0.432629 0.780137
2025-03-09 0.012974 0.029571 0.061974 0.127002 0.250002 0.466185 0.864733
2025-03-16 0.011022 0.026441 0.057841 0.123251 0.251176 0.482706 0.921099
2025-03-23 0.010257 0.025753 0.058515 0.129036 0.271053 0.534737 1.045708
2025-03-30 0.009174 0.024160 0.057103 0.130469 0.282733 0.572941 1.148756
2025-04-06 0.007873 0.021804 0.053709 0.127324 0.284952 0.593598 1.221033
2025-04-13 0.006871 0.019976 0.051189 0.125677 0.289956 0.619905 1.306079
2025-04-20 0.006542 0.019803 0.052429 0.132482 0.313363 0.684261 1.469985
2025-04-27 0.006184 0.019482 0.053266 0.138456 0.335553 0.747942 1.637383
2025-05-04 0.005319 0.017583 0.049952 0.134263 0.334859 0.764654 1.711342
2025-05-11 0.004717 0.016308 0.048010 0.133093 0.340800 0.795605 1.816791
2025-05-18 0.004090 0.014817 0.045261 0.129533 0.340765 0.813686 1.896521
2025-05-25 0.003579 0.013574 0.042975 0.126825 0.342406 0.835441 1.985588
2025-06-01 0.003275 0.012936 0.042272 0.128172 0.353996 0.880151 2.127679